It was interesting how he mentioned the same adjusted 2.5% I was using by default as a more reliable metric. Mine was just an intuitive number I picked while his was backed by a lot of math.
I think in my case however the rules would be further different as the majority of my portfolio will pay dividends and not just/necessarily grow and those dividends could fund me in part with the excess going back to reinvesting. I by default also donât hold bonds and currently I hold no treasuries or commodities or positions in emerging markets.
Iâll get around to making a formulaic table of my plan at some point to iron out the details with live comparisons of all potential lifespans and re-tune frequently. should make things much simpler for me going forwards if I only have to set up the maths once and then factor for extenuating circumstances, like the plaqueâŚ
@Vedran I get what you mean, but some say the same for Warren Buffett and he is frequently telling people to do what he says rather than what he does, as the rules for investing at his level are no longer the same for retail investors with high liquidity portfolioâs where his is highly illiquid. At the very least, this guy is qualified to provide advice and opinions on ETFs despite not using them. I donât use them either for a variety of reasons, lack of specificity and control being just the first of many.
Actually I think he is very competent, thus I would rather here him on reasoning for his choices or how he makes decisions, rather then theory about ETFs, which he doesnât apply for himself.
@Dao, I agree, I had heard about the 4% rule and I always thought that 4% seemed a bit excessive and it surprised me how it could work, particularly when everything is cyclic and large recessions occur (as well as inflation). For example in the last 15 years now we have had 2 market fals (2008 crisis and Covid-19).
I would have intuitively said something along the lines of 2 to 2.5% for it to be safe, assuming an average annual growth of around 5% (though I think the historic average is around 7%) and a possible inflation of 2.5-3%, but then you need a very big investment total.
I have never really done the maths supported with actual numbers either, as I am nowhere near retiring. Interesting video though .
the idea was that you grew your portfolio by 8% annually so you could afford to remove half of it to live on without the balance diminishing, though no longer growing.
In my case I am trying to reach 1 million at least anyways, but I donât need much to live on at all and will always have other sources of income so 2% in dividends accumulating every month at varying amounts put into my bank for enjoying life and the rest trying to keep growing until there is something expensive I want as I have no plans to amass a lot of money just to pass it on to family members.
@Dao I have a similar strategy of yours, relying more on dividends stocks (less risky ones)⌠but I also have a âGrowth pieâ and some bonds and cryptos⌠all together representing maximum of 20% of my portfolio.