Disclaimer: Obviously this is not financial advise, I am not qualified and not even close!
My overall investment strategy for the last two decades have been buy and keep until forever. For the last 5 years or so I’ve started selling things as well but very rarely. I only sell stocks under two conditions
It is bought with a theory in mind and despite giving it plenty of time market has not proved the theory correct. These shares go into “doghouse” to be sold at an acceptable price point. Recent examples HSBA, RDSB RNK luckily managed to offload before Feb 2020 :slight_smile
It outperformed my expectations and at least doubled the position size, taking profit and waiting for a slightly lower reentry point. Recent examples TSLA, unfortunately the re-entry point never came back
Although I don’t change my holdings much, I always rearrange and ration by buy list. I don’t try to “time the market” I’ve learned I am terrible at it. I buy from this list when ever I have money.
Every year I first try to fill my ISA than around 10K into my SIPP and 1-3K into physical gold/silver
Without further due here is my current buy list, comments appreciated.
AMD vs Intel, I see you bet heavily on AMD to come out winner.
AVGO is powerhouse coming with force, now after CA Technologies and Symantec M&A, even at current valuation is very solid buy. Increasing revenue from Enterprise software/services, higher margines etc.
ABBV is a good play in Healthcare, would consider BMY. Both coming out of M&A with huge growth potential.
REITs, feel like you building nuclear bunker there No retail stuff
I’ve been buying AMD since it was 1$ And I am quite familiar with semi conductor tech in general. AMD always had potential (since its market share was tiny) and last year(2019) they kept bludgeoning Intel. It is at the moment only competing with itself. Intels announcement of 7nm delay was obvious 6 months ago (by some leaked news from ASML)
So AMD is killing it at Server CPUs and since last year “enthusiast” grade desktops (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=stM2CPF9YAY) but another silent giant is their mobile/laptop CPU is so over achieving people actually speculated AMD has found some alien tech somewhere.
I’m jealous now. I’m a techy, back in the $1 days I thought I should buy some just to support them. When the reviewers were becoming buzzed before Ryzen was released i again knew I should buy. But, I wasn’t ready for investing at the time. Now I joined the party around $50 so still a nice increase especially since the 7nm delay from Intel.
But I think that for now you’re a bit heavy on AMD compared to Intel. Intel dropped quite far for the 7nm while there other numbers were good. Amd is on a peak for now and Intel will come back to the top in a couple of years while there non cpu business will still make a good income.
New gpu’s will be released by both Nvidia and AMD, rumors are that amd will release a strong contester that should come close to the top cards nvidia will released so there is some interesting short term future news.
(I didn’t heard the ASML INTEL rumors but I wasn’t surprised since 10nm has been delayed years and is just starting to get a grip on the Intel side.)
I hope I’m not ranting to much.
About your sell tactic, have you considered to take out your initial investment instead of selling completely? You would basically have “free” shares and can invest in something else.
As I said I’m just starting and probably to active.
(or gready since I don’t sell when I made 30% in a week while the stock turns out to be more volatile and now on -20%…)
I have not owned a single AMD CPU up until now, but my next CPU (after RTX3080 release) will 99% be AMD 3950X. Only saying this to underline I am not religious on these subjects at all So my reason for preference of AMD over INTEL is: Intel already holds the biggest slice of the pie, it can only grow so much by the “pie getting bigger” while AMD being the smaller slice can eat into other slices. Intel does own a few more products that are by far market leaders in other categories as well (like wireless) but they are relatively small verticles.
may be I emphasised it less than I should, but I sell very rarely, so it is not a blanket “this earned a lot sell all now” tactic.
By “keeping track of it” if you mean current positions wins losses earnings dividends volatility etc. I use portfolio performance an open source software that is very detailed in which where I have all my different share dealing and cash accounts. It requires work to “input” data. Here is an example report dividends accumulated 2019 vs 2020
If you mean how do I keep track of what to hold and what to doghouse I have sheets tracking dividend growth, eps vs estimates, eps growth, beta P/E price/book etc.
one for example looks like this:
Nice, didn’t know this software before, I’m just starting something similar, I will have look on it to see if worth to fork it and change it to my needs
I’d recommend doing PR’s on github instead of forking it. or suggestions etc. It has a nice community and although it looks like there are a lot of “german speaking group” contributing, the creator wants the app to keep going multilingual and replies on github are often in English.
I will have a look… my first intention is to have a web and native iOS/macOS versions.
It also uses some old technologies that I don’t like much, but it’s a secondary point.
We see every platform/educational document mention it but it is still 200% true: "Past performance does not guarantee or even indicate future performance"
once again, these are not my holdings, but this is a buy list. You can backtest it as if its a portfolio on some online tools.
@kali You mentioned in a thread if you were to start investing you’d invest in 4 stocks and add to them forever…I’m trying to find the thread? I think it was mercado libre, adyen, square and another? I could be wrong. Pls can you correct me?
. How do you keep track of it all tho? I have 12 stocks/ETFs in my portfolio and that’s it.
